Projecting Potential Output: Methods and Problems

Sebastian Hauptmeier,Friedrich Heinemann,Marcus Kappler,Margit Kraus,Andreas Schrimpf

Projecting Potential Output: Methods and Problems
Format
Paperback
Publisher
Springer-Verlag Berlin and Heidelberg GmbH & Co. KG
Country
Germany
Published
20 March 2009
Pages
200
ISBN
9783790821765

Projecting Potential Output: Methods and Problems

Sebastian Hauptmeier,Friedrich Heinemann,Marcus Kappler,Margit Kraus,Andreas Schrimpf

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In spite of the widespread use of the concept of potential output in economic theory and empirical applications as well as in economic policy debates, the historical background and the assumptions inherent to this concept are rarely made transparent, let alone critically questioned. Against this background this book sets out to determine the extent to which the concept of potential output rests on clearly defined theoretical foundations and how far prevailing empirical quantification methods really provide reliable insights into potential output growth of an economy. In addition, the authors examine alternative methods for a forward-looking assessment of potential output growth.

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