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What happens to deterrence and escalation when decisions can be made at machine speeds and when states can put fewer human lives at risk? What are potential areas for miscalculation and unintended consequences, and unwanted escalation in particular? This exploratory report provides an initial examination of how artificial intelligence and autonomous systems could affect deterrence and escalation in conventional crises and conflicts.
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What happens to deterrence and escalation when decisions can be made at machine speeds and when states can put fewer human lives at risk? What are potential areas for miscalculation and unintended consequences, and unwanted escalation in particular? This exploratory report provides an initial examination of how artificial intelligence and autonomous systems could affect deterrence and escalation in conventional crises and conflicts.