This monograph seeks to carefully evaluate the current situation and the prospects of the North Caucasus insurgency, a condition of violence in a multi-ethnic region on Europe’s easternmost edge that’s been going on almost continuously since 1994, becoming a hallmark of post-Soviet Russia.

To that end, it reviews the fundamental causes and the most recent trends relating to the local insurgency. It explains in great detail the factors behind the unprecedented weakening of the local insurgency–pointing to the viability of the North Caucasus insurgency and predicting that in the short- and medium-term, locally operating jihadist groups will remain a factor of regional and Russian politics.

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