Defense Resource Planning Under Uncertainty: An Application of Robust Decision Making to Munitions Mix Planning

Robert J. Lempert,Drake Warren,Ryan Henry,Robert W. Button,Jonathan Klenk

Defense Resource Planning Under Uncertainty: An Application of Robust Decision Making to Munitions Mix Planning
Format
Paperback
Publisher
RAND
Country
United States
Published
15 March 2016
Pages
108
ISBN
9780833091673

Defense Resource Planning Under Uncertainty: An Application of Robust Decision Making to Munitions Mix Planning

Robert J. Lempert,Drake Warren,Ryan Henry,Robert W. Button,Jonathan Klenk

Defense planning faces significant uncertainties. This report applies robust decision making (RDM) to the air-delivered munitions mix challenge. RDM is quantitative, decision support methodology designed to inform decisions under conditions of deep uncertainty and complexity. This proof-of-concept demonstration suggests that RDM could help defense planners make plans more robust to a wide range of hard-to-predict futures.

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