Conflict Trends and Conflict Drivers: An Empirical Assessment of Historical Conflict Patterns and Future Conflict Projections

Thomas S Szayna,Angela O'Mahony,Jennifer Kavanagh,Stephen Watts,Bryan Frederick

Conflict Trends and Conflict Drivers: An Empirical Assessment of Historical Conflict Patterns and Future Conflict Projections
Format
Paperback
Publisher
RAND
Country
United States
Published
21 November 2017
Pages
286
ISBN
9780833090553

Conflict Trends and Conflict Drivers: An Empirical Assessment of Historical Conflict Patterns and Future Conflict Projections

Thomas S Szayna,Angela O'Mahony,Jennifer Kavanagh,Stephen Watts,Bryan Frederick

Future conflict projections suggest a continued decline in both interstate and intrastate conflict is likely through 2040. RAND researchers conclude the Army should help to support these trends by preparing for conventional wars against other states, although its most likely future missions will continue to involve irregular warfare against nonstate actors.

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