Predicting Suicide Attacks: Integrating Spatial, Temporal, and Social Features of Terrorist Attack Targets
Walter L. Perry,Claude Berrebi,Ryan Andrew Brown,John Hollywood,Amber Jaycocks
Predicting Suicide Attacks: Integrating Spatial, Temporal, and Social Features of Terrorist Attack Targets
Walter L. Perry,Claude Berrebi,Ryan Andrew Brown,John Hollywood,Amber Jaycocks
As part of an exploration of ways to predict what determines the targets of suicide attacks, RAND conducted a proof-of-principle analysis of whether adding sociocultural, political, economic, and demographic factors would enhance the predictive ability of a methodology that focused on geospatial features. This test case focused on terrorist bombing incidents in Israel, but the findings indicate that the methodology merits further exploration.
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