Rational Expectations Econometrics

Lars Peter Hansen,Thomas J. Sargent,John Heaton,Albert Marcet,William Roberds

Rational Expectations Econometrics
Format
Hardback
Publisher
Taylor & Francis Ltd
Country
United Kingdom
Published
9 September 2019
Pages
294
ISBN
9780367285012

Rational Expectations Econometrics

Lars Peter Hansen,Thomas J. Sargent,John Heaton,Albert Marcet,William Roberds

At the core of the rational expectations revolution is the insight that economic policy does not operate independently of economic agents’ knowledge of that policy and their expectations of the effects of that policy. This means that there are very complicated feedback relationships existing between policy and the behaviour of economic agents, and these relationships pose very difficult problems in econometrics when one tries to exploit the rational expectations insight in formal economic modelling. This volume consists of work by two rational expectations pioneers dealing with the nuts and bolts problems of modelling the complications introduced by rational expectations. Each paper deals with aspects of the problem of making inferences about parameters of a dynamic economic model on the basis of time series observations. Each exploits restrictions on an econometric model imposed by the hypothesis that agents within the model have rational expectations.

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